John Raine The Gaza war has fuelled geopolitical trends that compromise Ukraine’s position, and with which Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy must contend if Ukraine is to survive. In autumn 2023, Ukraine’s spring offensive ran up against the hard realities of Russian defences. … [Read more...]
TOPICS
How Primed for War Is China? Risk signals for a conflict are flashing red.
Michael Beckley How likely is China to start a war? This may be the single-most important question in international affairs today. If China uses military force against Taiwan or another target in the Western Pacific, the result could be war with the United States—a fight between two nuclear-armed … [Read more...]
CENEGRI – 2023 POLICY BRIEF REPORT
The Policy Brief Report 2023 is an extremely important document for both the academic community and the general public. It addresses in detail contemporary issues of great relevance in the areas of geopolitics, defense, and international affairs. Throughout the year, our international analysts, who … [Read more...]
The Dysfunctional Superpower
Robert M. Gates Foreign Affairs Magazine Can a Divided America Deter China and Russia? It was a chaotic week in Washington. Congressional Republicans ended the week in disarray after GOP lawmakers voted down a bipartisan border security bill they fought for, leaving aid to Ukraine and Israel … [Read more...]
British analysis suggests Russian air forces struggle in supporting ground troops due to high avoidance of risk
The British Ministry of Defense shared their conclusions on Saturday. Experts from London believe the Russian military air force is struggling to provide sustained support for its ground forces engaged in combat in Ukraine. According to British intelligence, this issue stems from a clear avoidance … [Read more...]
Israel Prepares For Rafah Assault That Could Lead To “Tens Of Thousands” Of Casualties As Saudis Warn Of Imminent “Humanitarian Catastrophe”
Tyler Durden With any hopes for a Israel-Hamas ceasefire now dead, overnight Israeli air strikes killed 17 people in Rafah on the Gaza border medics said on Saturday, as over a million Palestinians crammed into the city await a full-scale offensive with the rest of the enclave in ruins and … [Read more...]
Thailand’s New Government Rebalances Its Relationship With China
While relations between Bangkok and Beijing remain warm, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin is pursuing a more diversified foreign policy. Tommy Walker In early January, Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin enthusiastically announced that he would be waiving visa requirements for Chinese visitors … [Read more...]
Organization of Iran`s 12 Major Intelligence Agencies
Mark LindseyMark Lindsey PMSC Alpha Corp Chief of Staff/Private Military Intelligence Since the 1979 revolution, Iran has spawned more than a dozen disparate intelligence agencies that engage in domestic and foreign surveillance. They separately report to different government ministries, … [Read more...]
Nonstate armed actors in 2024: The Middle East and Africa
Vanda Felbab-Brown Vanda Felbab-Brown Director - Initiative on Nonstate Armed Actors, Co-Director - Africa Security Initiative, Senior Fellow - Foreign Policy, Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology @VFelbabBrown January … [Read more...]
The Extremist Domino Effect of October 7
by Mark Berlin, Sara Harmouch, Vladimir Rauta Half a century after the Yom Kippur War, Hamas’s surprise attacks on Oct. 7 echo the infamous 1973 Arab-Israeli conflict. This day has also been likened to Israel’s own Sept. 11 by diplomats and commentators, intensifying its contemporary resonance. … [Read more...]