The British Ministry of Defense shared their conclusions on Saturday. Experts from London believe the Russian military air force is struggling to provide sustained support for its ground forces engaged in combat in Ukraine.
According to British intelligence, this issue stems from a clear avoidance of risk. They point out that the Russian Air Force has reportedly lost an estimated total of 82 combat aircraft since the invasion began in February 2022.
British analysis of Russian aviation: lack of support to ground forces
Such data was affirmed by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine after they shot down a Russian Su-34 fighter jet over Lugansk on January 30th, referenced in NATO code as the Fullback. This represents a significant setback for the Russian military.
Currently, British intelligence evaluates that Russian aviation is exercising exceptional caution. “There is a real possibility that tactical air units of the Russian Air Forces are incapable of providing sustained support to the Russian ground forces,” reported the British.
They suggest that Russia employs techniques which enable their aircraft to stay further away from threats, but consequently, also further from the soldiers they are supposed to be supporting. This likely indicates a Russian intention to circumvent risk. “These actions might imply the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defense units and highlight the ongoing inability of the Russian Air Force to achieve air superiority,” concluded the British Ministry of Defense.