Par Giuseppe Gagliano Note d’actualité du Cf2R N°661 / Novembre 2024 L’Ukraine, désormais proche de sa troisième année de conflit avec la Russie, se trouve dans une situation critique, tant militaire qu’économique. Sur le terrain, les combats sont intenses et voient les forces russes … [Read more...]
The perils of predicting the future
Suzanne Raine Thinking about the future as a mystery to be divined, rather than an outcome to be shaped, has become hard-wired into the way we talk about what will happen next in foreign policy. When nearly 150 million US voters cast their ballots on 5 November, opinion polls … [Read more...]
Trump’s Place in US Political Cycles
By George Friedman November 18, 2024 Open as PDF As I wrote in my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” we tend to use presidencies as benchmarks to help us locate where we are in time, but it would be a mistake to think that presidents and policies are the true agents of … [Read more...]
COP 29 is a business of the People’s Republic of China and of the major oil companies
Cosmin PĂCURARU, PhD COP 29 in the shadow of BRICS COP 29 is actually the 29th United Nations (UN) conference dedicated to climate change. Started on November 11, it is taking place for two weeks in Baku, concluding on November 22. It should be noted that last year COP 28 … [Read more...]
Beneath the Surface: How China’s CS Fu Tai and Russia’s Kildin Threaten Global Undersea Cable Security
Cornelis Jan G. Undersea cables are the lifelines of modern civilization. These extensive, often forgotten networks carry the weight of the global internet, transmitting over 95% of international data traffic. Financial markets, international communications, and military operations depend on their … [Read more...]
Navigating Ideological Crossroads
by Talgat Kabdygali Post-Soviet countries continue to grapple with their ideological identity, often finding themselves at a crossroads. Friedrich Engels noted that the state emerged to manage conflicts resulting from economic inequality, suggesting that a society without internal conflicts might … [Read more...]
Iran and War
George Friedman Last week, I wrote on the Middle East and promised a follow-up piece would come next. The U.S. election intruded. Now I’ll return to the second part on the Middle East. We tend to view unrest as an internal event, usually contained in a given nation or region. But sometimes … [Read more...]
A Blueprint for Reclaiming Global Order
Sang Yeob Kim The Fragility of Global Stability Bob Woodward's War sheds a revealing light on the defining crises of our time, from the political turbulence of Donald Trump's presidency to the geopolitical upheavals of the Ukraine conflict. These events expose the vulnerabilities of the current … [Read more...]
Asian Stocks Gain As U.S. Yields Dip; Dollar Weakens
Jibran Munaf Asian stocks edged higher on Tuesday as U.S. bond yields declined and the dollar retreated from recent highs, signaling cautious optimism among investors. Markets are closely monitoring President-elect Donald Trump’s cabinet announcements and the evolving outlook for Federal Reserve … [Read more...]
Stocks Gain as Lower US Yields Provide Tailwind: Markets Wrap
Aya Wagatsuma (Bloomberg) -- Asian shares rose with US and European futures as lower Treasury yields bolstered the allure of holding equities. Traders are watching for any further news around President-elect Donald Trump’s planned administration. Most Read from Bloomberg Paris to Replace … [Read more...]