The results largely confirmed public opinion polls over the past few months – Robert Fico (former three-time prime minister with a corrupt, pro-Kremlin reputation) won. However, with his 42 deputies (out of 150 in the Slovak parliament), he is miles away from positioning himself like Orban.
It was encouraging to see that the fascist Republika and the mafia family business Sme Rodina (“We Are Family”) did not make it into parliament. Republika was “cannibalized” by Fico, whose rhetoric attracted fascist voters.
Overall, two governments can emerge from the results, and the main political kingmaker is Pellegrini’s Hlas – Sociálna Demokracia (“Voice – Social Democracy”), the third-largest party in the election, with its 27 deputies.
If Pellegrini, [earlier a member of Fico’s party who created Hlas in 2020, yet parted with Fico on foreign policy, vowing not to end military aid to Ukraine], chooses a coalition with Fico, one more coalition party would be needed to get a majority in parliament.
Both potential candidates are problematic for Hlas, which is supportive of Ukraine’s territorial integrity, as well as of Slovakia’s EU and NATO orientation: either the nationalist/Russophile SNS (Slovak National Party – 10 seats) or the Catholic-conservative KDH (12 seats).