Summary
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is gearing up for its most important political event of the decade. Sometime in the second half of 2022, China’s most senior leaders will assemble at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People for the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party. Maneuvering ahead of the event will dominate political life in China throughout 2022, and the outcomes of the congress will determine the country’s trajectory for years to come. This report will present an overview of what to expect at the upcoming Party Congress and provide readers with a greater understanding of the complexity of Chinese elite politics and the constraints facing Chinese leader Xi Jinping. While it will not attempt to predict precise results, it will present some of the most likely high-level outcomes and their related policy implications.
Key Takeaways
Xi Jinping will emerge from the Party Congress more powerful than ever and will almost certainly retain his Party leadership posts for at least another term.
The outcomes of the Party Congress—particularly the composition of key leadership bodies—will determine the extent of Xi’s power and ability to drive policy.
Priorities presented during the Party Congress will help set China’s political, economic, and foreign policy trajectory for the next five years and beyond.
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